Why Is Medical Inflation Going Through the Roof?
28th September 2022
Hong Kong’s medical inflation rate is set to be 8.1% in 2022.
If you can’t put a price on your health, the increasing costs of healthcare are causing quite a stir around the world. We at Alea are taking a closer look at why medical inflation is going through the roof especially so because of its direct impact on increased medical insurance costs. If you are exasperated by your insurance premium increase, here are some explanations to better understand what's going on.
What are the medical inflation rates worldwide and locally?
Medical inflation is an international phenomenon that affects continents differently. According to the "2022 Global Medical Trends Survey Report" by Willis Towers Watson, the global trend is projected to remain at 8.1% for 2021 and 2022 after dropping to 4.8% in 2020.
The average increase will go up from 7.0% to 7.6% in Asia Pacific, 10.2% to 10.6% in the Middle East and Africa, and 13.2% to 14.2% in Latin America. In contrast, the predicted trend takes a dip in Europe and North America, where inflation rates will descend from 7.1% to 6.7% and 9.7% to 8.6% respectively.
In Hong Kong:
Willis Towers Watson report also predicted medical inflation to rise from 6.8% in 2021 to 8.2% in 2022, continuing to climb from 6.5% in 2020. With a higher increase rate than the Asia Pacific average, it is important to note that private healthcare costs are particularly high in the city.
This is one of the reasons why it is important to choose your health insurance plan carefully. Moreover, medical benefits are an advantage highly valued by employees, and therefore an important element to take into account for employers who want to attract and retain talents and staff through group medical insurance coverage.
Why is medical inflation so high?
The Willis Towers Watson report explains that cancers, cardiovascular diseases, and musculoskeletal conditions are the top three conditions by cost and incidence (80%, 56%, 41% respectively). While these three conditions are set to have the most impact in the next five years, mental and behavioral health problems will become increasingly significant in the future. To learn more about this trend, you can read the 2020 report “The mounting crisis of mental health” by Willis Towers Watson and our exclusive thought piece examining mental health protection in the local insurance market.
High medical inflation rates are also explained by overconsumption of healthcare as well as new technologies. This overconsumption comes as much from healthcare professionals as from the patients themselves. Unfortunately, each act of care has a cost, and the excess of care contributes to higher pricing.
Likewise, the use of new and more efficient technologies ineluctably leads to an increase in prices. In fact, 70% of insurers say that new technologies are partly responsible for medical inflation rates in the 2020 Global Medical Trends Survey Report.
Poor lifestyle habits also lead to higher healthcare prices and drive inflation.
In Hong Kong where life expectancy is rated the highest in the world according to the United Nations Vital Statistics Summary, the aging population and the increasing number of cancer cases have been driving medical inflation locally.
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Impact of the pandemic on medical inflation
Over the year 2020, COVID-19 has delayed many non-urgent surgeries and elective care, bringing a decline in health care utilization and medical cost to many countries. However, as deferred health care utilization resumes, the ongoing costs are expected to increase substantially in the coming year(s).
In the US alone, medical cost trend has gone up from 6% in 2020 to 7% in 2021, and is expected to slightly shrink to 6.5% in 2022, as consultancy PwC’s Medical cost trend: Behind the Numbers 2022 report estimates.
Willis Towers Watson also reports that some insurers have removed certain pandemic exclusions and refined program wording limitations, with the exception of the Europe market which has tighter policies on pandemic claims. Contrarily in Asia Pacific, only 8% of insurers are expected to exclude pandemic, a sharp drop from the pre-pandemic 27%.
On the other hand, telehealth has become a trend during COVID-19, which provides more efficient access to health care services, while serving as an effective cost management tool. Half of the insurers surveyed now cover telehealth across all plans.
As far as renewal is concerned, about two-thirds of insurers are open to offering other renewal options to address the pandemic’s impact on claims experience in 2020, for example, experience rating, two-year guarantees, premium rebates and premium holidays.
Be sure to check out our guide on how to reduce your health insurance cost here to plan your next steps.
How is medical inflation measured?
Medical inflation is a calculation of the average changes in prices of medical services and goods in a place annually.
Is healthcare in Hong Kong expensive?
Currently, Hong Kong has the world's second most expensive private healthcare system, second only to the United States. Let alone the ever-rising inflation rate every year. On the other hand, while the public sector provides highly affordable services, due to its huge demand, has an extensive waiting period that can be distressing to patients requiring immediate medical attention.
How does medical inflation affect my insurance premiums?
Insurance companies would take into account the effect of inflation on medical costs on the market, and hence, on their medical benefits. Inflation is also part of the reason why premiums may increase every year even if the cover remains the same.
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This article was independently written by Alea and is not sponsored. It is informative only and not intended to be a substitute for professional advice and should never be relied upon for specific advice.